Million Dollar Question

[Echonova]

Here's the thing, with the guy giving the money away. The point is for me to lose, therefore he keeps the money. Now I've picked A, he shows me B is empty and offer to let me switch doors to C . That tells me I'm 100% right because if I have picked the wrong door why offer it up? However by offering the third option it gives the guy giving the money away a 50/50 shot at keeping the money. Increasing HIS chances, you should never switch. Unless it was established before the game started that one wrong door would be revealed, then I would switch.

[xlilvi3tx]

Here's the thing, with the guy giving the money away. The point is for me to lose, therefore he keeps the money. Now I've picked A, he shows me B is empty and offer to let me switch doors to C . That tells me I'm 100% right because if I have picked the wrong door why offer it up? However by offering the third option it gives the guy giving the money away a 50/50 shot at keeping the money. Increasing HIS chances, you should never switch. Unless it was established before the game started that one wrong door would be revealed, then I would switch.

lol the thing is, he still shows u the door with nothing regardless of u picking the door with the money or not. The reason why to switch it because u are more than likely to first pick a door with nothing then the door with money since its 2/3 chance. And once u do, he offers to switch. Switching really would be the best choice because, at the beginning, u have a higher chance of winning nothing since its 2/3.

Let say u pick the 1st door with nothing, he opens door 2 with nothing, u make the switch and u win.

Now lets say u pick door 2 with nothing, he reveals door 1 with nothing, u make the switch and u win.

Now lets say u pick door 3 with the money, he shows u either door 1 or 2, and if u make the switch, u are goin to lose.

Since switching has a 1/3 chance to lose, it is your best bet to switch than to stay with the same door. Staying with the same door gives you a (edited) 1/3 chance win. so did i win?

[SL65AMG]

lol the thing is, he still shows u the door with nothing regardless of u picking the door with the money or not. The reason why to switch it because u are more than likely to first pick a door with nothing then the door with money since its 2/3 chance. And once u do, he offers to switch. Switching really would be the best choice because, at the beginning, u have a higher chance of winning nothing since its 2/3.

Let say u pick the 1st door with nothing, he opens door 2 with nothing, u make the switch and u win.

Now lets say u pick door 2 with nothing, he reveals door 1 with nothing, u make the switch and u win.

Now lets say u pick door 3 with the money, he shows u either door 1 or 2, and if u make the switch, u are goin to lose.

Since switching has a 1/3 chance to lose, it is your best bet to switch than to stay with the same door. Staying with the same door gives you a 50/50 chance. so did i win?

you picked 3 of the possible scenarios that prove your point. the real possibility or being right or wrong is 50%/50%.


i dont feel like trying to figure out all the possible scenarios but theres a hell of a lot more than 3

[xlilvi3tx]

you picked 3 of the possible scenarios that prove your point. the real possibility or being right or wrong is 50%/50%.


i dont feel like trying to figure out all the possible scenarios but theres a hell of a lot more than 3

there is more scenarios, im just proving that picking to switch is the best choice since it had the highest proportion of winning. ok let say u stayin with that same door, u have 1/3 chance of winning.

pick door 1 within nothin, he reveals door 2 with nothing, stay, get nothing

pick door 2 with nothing, reveal door 1 with nothing, stay, get nothing

pick door 3 with money, reveals either door 1 or 2, stay, get the money.

those are the only choices u can get man... lol

[SL65AMG]

there is more scenarios, im just proving that picking to switch is the best choice since it had the highest proportion of winning. ok let say u stayin with that same door, u have 1/3 chance of winning.

pick door 1 within nothin, he reveals door 2 with nothing, stay, get nothing

pick door 2 with nothing, reveal door 1 with nothing, stay, get nothing

pick door 3 with money, reveals either door 1 or 2, stay, get the money.

those are the only choices u can get man... lol

what if the money is not in door 3/c ? what if it was in a?

[xlilvi3tx]

what if the money is not in door 3/c ? what if it was in a?

same thing or is it? lol jk, just move all that sh!t around haha