Million Dollar Question

[Jimmy B]

its still 50/50 after the one door is taken away..

the bottom line, you eather keep your door you picked, or switch.. 2 doors left, you have a 50/50 chance.. monty hall is an idiot obvously

[man]

its still 50/50 after the one door is taken away..

the bottom line, you eather keep your door you picked, or switch.. 2 doors left, you have a 50/50 chance.. monty hall is an idiot obvously

[Magnus213]

Seriously. The answer is spelled out and people are still refusing to accept it.

[Psycho]

Dude, if there are two doors left, there are only two possible outcomes. Either it is behind the one you're gonna open, or it's behind the other one. It's the same as if I flip a coin three times and it lands on heads each time. There isn't some weird probability of it landing on tails the next time.

[man]

Dude, if there are two doors left, there are only two possible outcomes. Either it is behind the one you're gonna open, or it's behind the other one. It's the same as if I flip a coin three times and it lands on heads each time. There isn't some weird probability of it landing on tails the next time.

The thing about it is, if you look at the overall statistics, yes there is.

[Psycho]

The thing about it is, if you look at the overall statistics, yes there is.

If there are only two choices, there is no possible way to split the probability in to anything other than 50:50. That stupid wikipedia page just uses a bunch of numbers and big words to confuse people. The ratio they use is all wrong. Yes there are still 2/3 doors left unopened, but only 1 of the 2 doors contains the prize.

Any retard with a computer can make a wikipedia page, and educate stupid people with faulty knowledge.

[Psycho]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psycho%27s_balls

[Vteckidd]

Dude, if there are two doors left, there are only two possible outcomes. Either it is behind the one you're gonna open, or it's behind the other one. It's the same as if I flip a coin three times and it lands on heads each time. There isn't some weird probability of it landing on tails the next time.

My father used this arguement as well.

If you flip a coin 10 times an it lands on HEADS 10 times in a row, on the 11th flip is it more likely to lan on heads or tails?

the answer is its still 50%, just cause HEADS came up 10 times in a row doesnt mean that now Tails has a much higher chance.

I dunno, my mind is too asleep right now to argue lol

[man]

My father used this arguement as well.

If you flip a coin 10 times an it lands on HEADS 10 times in a row, on the 11th flip is it more likely to lan on heads or tails?

the answer is its still 50%, just cause HEADS came up 10 times in a row doesnt mean that now Tails has a much higher chance.

Yes, when you are dealing with instantaneous probability. So, if before you flip the coin you guess, it is 50/50. On the other hand, the probability of getting heads 10 times in a row is (1/2)^10. It just depends on the perspective, instantaneous vs. total.

[Psycho]

its still 50/50 after the one door is taken away..

the bottom line, you eather keep your door you picked, or switch.. 2 doors left, you have a 50/50 chance.. monty hall is an idiot obvously

You said it before I could