Explain this.

[carguy07]

Okay. He threw for 316 yards. Let's assume that the number of yards could be anywhere from 0 to 1000 yards. So that makes the odds of throwing 316 1 in 1000.

The average of 31.6 yards per play is just the same number as above divided by 10. So really you're saying he made 10 plays. Let's say that he could have made anywhere from 0 to 100 plays, so the odds of this number of plays is 1/100.

And the TV ratings, let's assume they could go anywhere from 0 to 100, with 3 significant figures. So the odds of the ratings being 31.6 are 1/1000.

So multiply those together:

1/1000 * 1/100 * 1/1000
= 1/100,000,000

1 in 100 million, clearly nothing interesting or out of the ordinary about that.

You are getting close, but you should know that numbers in sports are not random. Like I said in my first post, his numbers have a mean and standard deviation, so you should normalize them to get a more accurate answer. Tebow will never throw for 1000 yards in a game, so including that in your calculation is incorrect. He will also never complete 100 passes in a game, so that is incorrect also. If you read my initial post, I made some quick estimations for the correct ranges for both of these. TV ratings are completely pointless anyway, just learning how they are determined will make anyone with statistics experience cringe.

This reminds me of that Jim Carrey movie "The Number 23"

If you dig hard enough you can make anything come out how you want it.

This. If you want I can relate all these numbers to Philippians 4:13, another scripture Tebow put on his eyeblack while in college.