I didn't suggest it, a study was done and DOCTORS said that 62% knew colleagues that plan to retire early in 1-3 years. The study also tied that to the ACA.
To claim that it was a suggestion from me, rather than recognize it as a study by a leading research institute, shows that you are attempting to be deceptive by implying that this is made up by me. You recently defended a telephone survey of less than 1000 random people asking them if they used drugs as a legitimate method to polling and getting accurate results. Here, I bring up a study done by a well respected research institute, where they got a much larger cross section of a specific and well informed field, but you do not want to accept its results with the same conviction.
I stated before, your increase in medical student applications is 3.1% (about 10,000 more applicants). That does not mean that these new applicants will be approved, will complete their education, or even become doctors. They aren't all studying to become doctors, just applying to medical schools. That's a huge difference.
Just to pay out your scenario - let's be fictionally generous and say that a quarter of these new applicant (about 2,500) become doctors. Here's something to think about - they aren't all studying to be US doctors. Many come from other countries to study here, and then return back to their own country. I know quite a few Indians that have come to Emory, complete their doctorates, and head home to run their medical practices there.
Bottom line: The provisions within Obamacare are expected to increase the number of primary care doctors by perhaps 3,000 in the coming decade. Communities around the country need about 45,000.
Obamacare is making the system have a greater shortage of doctors.
You don't have to believe me though, read about it yourself.
U.S. Faces Shortage of Doctors - WSJ.com
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/29/he...mmunities.html
"The proportion of medical students choosing to enter primary care has declined in the past 15 years, as average earnings for primary care doctors and specialists, like orthopedic surgeons and radiologists, have diverged."