Many that are currently not insured are those who choose not to purchase insurance, due to the cost vs the perceived amount of risk. Young people tend to opt out of spending on insurance as much. That is fact. Adding these will lower the risk, allowing insurance companies to balance out the higher risk insured that you mentioned. This could allow insurance companies to have the ability not to raise rates on a whole.
The reason that rates will rise has nothing to do with insurance claims. It has to do with profit. Private insurance companies are typically publically traded, and funded through their stockholders. These stockholders expect a postive return on their investment, so the company must show growth and profit. Rates will continue to rise to show increase in profit driven by revenue. As soon as your company stops growing, your investors will leave you for another company.
Medicare is broken, that cannot be denied. I am not a fan of government run healthcare, but I am able to look at the problem outside of the partisan lines.






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