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Thread: US Budget deficit shrinks to $680B

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    Default US Budget deficit shrinks to $680B

    Lowest deficit since the crash of 2008

    Fastest decline since WW2

    Thanks, Obama.

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    The economy is so bad that were celebrating 680b deficits. Thanx obama for making good on your promise to cut the deficit in half in your first term and not raise my taxes 1cent.

    Conservatives like me is who you should be thanking. I'm paying for this pathetic government with nothing to show for it.

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    No one here is celebrating. Economists say this isn't neccessarily a good thing.

    And only conservatives pay federal taxes. Hmmm. Interesting.

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    The factors as to why it shrank are more important. The main reasons that it shrank are that the stimulus spending is expiring, and the sequester prevented a lot of spending. Additionally, the economy is improving, and taxes have been raised on the rich.

    Here is the good part: "Overall, spending in 2013 totaled 20.8% of GDP, down from 22% the year before, thanks in part to declines in defense spending and unemployment benefits, as well as the sequester. Among the areas where annual spending rose were Social Security and Medicare."

    Basically, Obama and Congress lowered our spending a little over 1% of GDP. That is a step in the right direction, and that is something positive from the government.

    The downside: "Independent budget experts' concern, however, is not about the country's deficits over the next 10 years. Their concern is about the subsequent decades when spending on major entitlement programs, as well as interest on the debt, will consume much larger portions of the budget while revenue is not expected to increase enough to keep pace."
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    I love gimmicky math Washington uses. Spend 1000 million over budget one year, spend 600 million over budget next year = I SAVED MONEY!

    step in the right direction but let's be honest it is still way too high.

    I almost bet you it'll be revised back up once full figures on Obama Care are released.
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    Some economists say its probably too low.

    Why would they say this?

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    Quote Originally Posted by .blank cd View Post
    Some economists say its probably too low.

    Why would they say this?


    'The fact that we are here today to debate raising America's debt limit is a sign of leadership failure. It is a sign that the US Government can not pay its own bills. It is a sign that we now depend on ongoing financial assistance from foreign countries to finance our Government's reckless fiscal policies. Increasing America's debt weakens us domestically and internationally. Leadership means that "the buck stops here." Instead, Washington is shifting the burden of bad choices today onto the backs of our children and grandchildren. America has a debt problem and a failure of leadership. Americans deserve better.'

    Why would he say this?


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    Quote Originally Posted by .blank cd View Post
    Some economists say its probably too low.

    Why would they say this?
    I dont know, stupid people say dumb shit everyday, I dont try to figure out why.

    I mean philosophically I dont agree with running large deficits, its not sustainable. It ruins the countries currency and buying power, which in turn hurts the citizens. It raises interest rates (normally). Its not fiscally responsible to run up deficits this large. All Washington has done has run them up year over year over year with no sign of actually slowing it down.

    Im not going to get into a debate of 10 pages with you on the subject , ill just state what I believe to be true:

    Both GOP and DEMOCRATs have run up massive deficits, Obama has the lions share however.
    The Deficit shrinking is because they spent far too much in the first place. I dont slap someone on the back for approval if they go from 100 lbs- 400lbs, then lose 40lbs. Still fat.
    The reason for the deficit falling is Tax Revenues are UP (because of the increase in taxes) (corp taxes DOWN) and the sequester/stim coming to an end (for now)
    Neither side has made any strides toward balancing the budget
    The Economy is in recovery, according to Obama, so , there should be no need to spend 500+ Billion over when Bush/Clinton were able to live with far less expenditures. Never convince me otherwise.

    If youre a Keynesian fanatic, you believe that deficit spending gets you out of recession or depression. Its not true, but you can believe it. So i suspect the people that think we need MORE spending fall into that line of thinking. Which is fine, its just patently false. 5 Years of over 1 trillion dollar deficits isnt enough? need more? kinda funny.
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    Wonder how many news sites and stories he had to look through to actually find a positive story to post on here?

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    The thing is, Keynes theory is the most widely accepted economic theory, and it's pretty much what's taught at college level economics. Shit, Krugman even writes a lot of the textbooks. So you're statement that deficit spending is false is your opinion, so just understand that the people actually counting the beans say otherwise, and that's how it's been done for quite sometime.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Matt300ZXT View Post
    Wonder how many news sites and stories he had to look through to actually find a positive story to post on here?
    None really. It was front page news for a solid week. I was hoping someone would post it before me.

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    Quote Originally Posted by .blank cd View Post
    The thing is, Keynes theory is the most widely accepted economic theory, and it's pretty much what's taught at college level economics. Shit, Krugman even writes a lot of the textbooks. So you're statement that deficit spending is false is your opinion, so just understand that the people actually counting the beans say otherwise, and that's how it's been done for quite sometime.
    General statement is general and wrong.

    Wonder why most countries who try this experience exactly what economists say will happen. Go look up Japans deficit and economy the last 25 years, you can start there.

    Japan went into the economic doldrums in the1990s. They’ve been trying that fiscal stimulus thing ever since: they’ve driven that national debt up to 200% of GDP in doing so. They’ve also done it in the approved manner, by building infrastructure. There’s hardly a stream in the entire country without its own bullet train station. This should have, according to a simplistic Keynesianism, have lifted the economy up out of those doldrums. Which it quite obviously hasn’t.
    FYI what they spoon feed everyone in college isnt 100% correct, especially when its mostly liberal (KE is mostly liberal viewpoint). For every economist that says KE works, theres 10 that say it doesnt. Krugman has been dead wrong on a plethora of things, I dont support his point of view.

    I can name you Economists and College Professors that have my point of view , doesnt make it right, just like you name dropping doesnt make you right.

    KE is a theory, for which we have data, that shows more often than not, it doesnt work
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    Charles Kolb: Why Paul Krugman Is Wrong

    http://www.redstate.com/socrates/201...l-these-years/

    IM sure you can find articles that claim it works.

    Your claims that
    Keynes theory is the most widely accepted economic theory
    Is not true. But, prove me wrong. What gave you this idea, what specifics back up this claim. FYI in my ECON 101-102 classes , they touched on Keynes and what it was, but the books were overwhelmingly on capitalistic style economics, and never advocated deficit spending
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    Quote Originally Posted by .blank cd View Post
    The thing is, Keynes theory is the most widely accepted economic theory, and it's pretty much what's taught at college level economics. Shit, Krugman even writes a lot of the textbooks. So you're statement that deficit spending is false is your opinion, so just understand that the people actually counting the beans say otherwise, and that's how it's been done for quite sometime.
    I am not a Keynes/Krugman fan. I do not agree with them in some regards. That said, this is one of the better writeups on deficit spending that I have seen. It's simple, but probably the best supporting argument for your position. I figured that you might like this article. Why You Should Love Government Deficits - Forbes
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vteckidd View Post
    Charles Kolb: Why Paul Krugman Is Wrong

    Keynesian Economics: Still Failing After All These Years | RedState

    IM sure you can find articles that claim it works.

    Your claims that


    Is not true. But, prove me wrong. What gave you this idea, what specifics back up this claim. FYI in my ECON 101-102 classes , they touched on Keynes and what it was, but the books were overwhelmingly on capitalistic style economics, and never advocated deficit spending
    Your articles look like you google searched Krugman wrong and Keynesian wrong, and went with the first two articles you saw.

    Even the commenters on the red state article were bashing the article for how wrong it was. LOL.

    And capitalist style economics huh?

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    Quote Originally Posted by .blank cd View Post
    Your articles look like you google searched Krugman wrong and Keynesian wrong, and went with the first two articles you saw.

    Even the commenters on the red state article were bashing the article for how wrong it was. LOL.

    And capitalist style economics huh?
    You can READ!

    Like usual, you missed my point. My point wasnt to show you some article to prove im right, my point was to show you 1 other econmist, and 1 other article (from a well known conservative) who offering different points of view. So your "Paul Krugman says it ....." holds little to no weight with me because A) Its THEORY not fact B) Economists are split on what works, but majority dont feel Keynesian Econ works.

    I should say I prefer supply side to KE, I think historical data proves it. I think there is more evidence that KE doesnt work, than it does work. But I also realize we will debate that topic for the next 40 pages and I dont care to.

    All I was showing was that its not the wildly most accepted economic policy. Matter of fact, 4 of the last 5 presidents, have done THE OPPOSITE.
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    Back to the topic, 680 Billion isnt something im excited about, I think its still shitty, and it wasnt like Obama came together with the GOP to lower the deficit. The lowering was artificial and was mainly over policies BOTH SIDES didnt want (sequester), stim running out yet we still have stagnant economy and extremely high UE, higher taxes.

    Im not happy because the outlook is not good, this news is nothing to be happy about. The only reason people are happy is because every other sector of the economy is doing worse. its the only good data they have. Its kind of like the monthly UE numbers taht get released. You can be dumb and happy an think that going from 7.1 to 7.2 is amazing, but if you actually understood why it did that, its nothing to be happy about.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vteckidd View Post
    You can READ!

    Like usual, you missed my point. My point wasnt to show you some article to prove im right, my point was to show you 1 other econmist, and 1 other article (from a well known conservative) who offering different points of view. So your "Paul Krugman says it ....." holds little to no weight with me because A) Its THEORY not fact B) Economists are split on what works, but majority dont feel Keynesian Econ works.
    Ah the good ol' theory vs. fact defense, which comes from not knowing what theory actually means. Lol

    I should say I prefer supply side to KE, I think historical data proves it. I think there is more evidence that KE doesnt work, than it does work. But I also realize we will debate that topic for the next 40 pages and I dont care to.

    All I was showing was that its not the wildly most accepted economic policy. Matter of fact, 4 of the last 5 presidents, have done THE OPPOSITE.
    And all I'm showing you is that it is your opinion that Keynesian Economics doesn't work, when in fact the opposite is true. It's like the old evolution debate. It's definitely a theory in the literal sense, but it's the most widely accepted theory among scientists, and theory and fact are not mutually exclusive. Same is true with KE.

    I'm not trying to change your mind, you can believe whatever you want. This is just how the majority of actual US economists count the beans.

    Quote Originally Posted by Wikipedia
    Government deficit spending is a central point of controversy in economics, with prominent economists holding differing views.[1] The "mainstream economics" position is that deficit spending is desirable and necessary as part of countercyclical fiscal policy, but that there should not be a structural deficit: run deficits during recessions to compensate for the shortfall in aggregate demand, but run surpluses in boom times so that there is no net deficit over an economic cycle, i.e., only run cyclical deficits. This is derived from Keynesian economics, and gained acceptance (especially in the Anglo-Saxon world) during the period between the Great Depression in the 1930s and post-WWII in the 1950s

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    Blank completely glossed over Senator Obama strongly disagreeing with his defense of president Obama.
    Last edited by Sinfix_15; 10-31-2013 at 06:32 PM.

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    I'm not going to agrue economic theory with either of you 2 because no theory works in all situations, and no theory works with all cultures, ideologies, and lifestyles.


    I will point out that Obama inherited a $458B deficit in FY'08 and it is now $680B in FY'13. He still needs to push the Senate for cuts of over $220B more a year just to get back on par with the "reckless" spending of the Bush admin.



    Another point, ignore most of the economic data you see reported in the media. It is dumbed down for the masses and basicly meaningless.

    Here is a good example of what 99% of the US population didnt see when they Sept. jobs report was released.
    Jobs report: 169,000 jobs added, 7.3% jobless rate « Hot Air

    All they saw was a reduction in the U3 number and thought it was a good thing. They have no clue about the U6, which was nearly double that of the U3. They dont know anything about a labor participation rate, which is more than 4% lower now than it was in 2007.


    Here is a pretty good article that worls through the UE numbers and comes to a very different conclusion than the federal govt. A conclusion that is 3x as high as the BLS reports.

    The real US unemployment picture and our future » Market Realist

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    Quote Originally Posted by .blank cd View Post
    Ah the good ol' theory vs. fact defense, which comes from not knowing what theory actually means. Lol


    And all I'm showing you is that it is your opinion that Keynesian Economics doesn't work, when in fact the opposite is true. It's like the old evolution debate. It's definitely a theory in the literal sense, but it's the most widely accepted theory among scientists, and theory and fact are not mutually exclusive. Same is true with KE.

    I'm not trying to change your mind, you can believe whatever you want. This is just how the majority of actual US economists count the beans.
    Sigh

    I can post data and charts that refute KE, just like you can prob post articles and charts showing KE works.

    Go look at Japan, Greece, Germany post and pre ww2, Look at the US in the Obama administration. Id rather have the clinton and Bush Jr economies than any of those scenarios.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vteckidd View Post
    Id rather have the clinton and Bush Jr economies than any of those scenarios.
    Cant agree with you on this. W and Clinton economies were based on bubbles, not sound fundamentals. We all know the end results of those bubbles.

    We need to get back to the economy we had in the 50's and 60's. Sound fundamentals and massive expansion of the middle and upper classes which leads to high demand from stable companies. The question is how do we get back to that and I dont have an answer. That period was based on manufacturing and today the American worker is too expensive for most of the manufacturing industry. I tend to think that if the US is going to see another golden age, its going to come on the back of a new technology and/or service that isnt feasible to import.

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    Quote Originally Posted by BanginJimmy View Post
    Cant agree with you on this. W and Clinton economies were based on bubbles, not sound fundamentals. We all know the end results of those bubbles.

    We need to get back to the economy we had in the 50's and 60's. Sound fundamentals and massive expansion of the middle and upper classes which leads to high demand from stable companies. The question is how do we get back to that and I dont have an answer. That period was based on manufacturing and today the American worker is too expensive for most of the manufacturing industry. I tend to think that if the US is going to see another golden age, its going to come on the back of a new technology and/or service that isnt feasible to import.
    Would you take 10 years of stagnation and massive spending

    or

    8 year cycles of incredible booms, and then 1-2 years of busts.

    Id take the boom and bust cycle. Mainly because 50-60s economy isnt feasible anymore, americans dont want to work those jobs anymore, unions have destroyed american manufacturing.
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    #FDB



    Quote Originally Posted by Sinfix_15 View Post
    You travel with so much luggage that it wont fit in a wagon? you dating a kardashian?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Sinfix_15 View Post
    The economy is so bad that were celebrating 680b deficits. Thanx obama for making good on your promise to cut the deficit in half in your first term and not raise my taxes 1cent.

    Conservatives like me is who you should be thanking. I'm paying for this pathetic government with nothing to show for it.
    Only conservatives pay taxes? LOL

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    Quote Originally Posted by Elbow View Post
    Only conservatives pay taxes? LOL
    No. But they predominantly pay for taxes for things they don't want. Libs ask for all these nanny programs

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    Quote Originally Posted by Sinfix_15 View Post
    No. But they predominantly pay for taxes for things they don't want. Libs ask for all these nanny programs
    Libs don't ask for nanny programs, lazy people do.

    Do you know how much you actually pay for things like food stamps?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Elbow View Post
    Libs don't ask for nanny programs, lazy people do.

    Do you know how much you actually pay for things like food stamps?
    I dont want to pay for a single food stamp, or section 8 house, or welfare check, or bailout, or food drop to korea, or guns to arabs.... i dont want any of it. $1 is $1 too much.

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    Maybe you should move to a country where the government doesn't pay for these things.

    Not wanting to pay taxes seems pretty unpatriotic to me.

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    Quote Originally Posted by .blank cd View Post
    Maybe you should move to a country where the government doesn't pay for these things.

    Not wanting to pay taxes seems pretty unpatriotic to me.

    This government is not what the founders of this country wanted. Obama is type of politician that would have been tar and feathered. I dont want to pay taxes to a reckless tyrant filled government that has no respect for it's citizens.

    What radical leftists like you believe is not the principles that this country was founded on. What you believe is the exact opposite of what our country stands for.

    "When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic."

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    Quote Originally Posted by Sinfix_15 View Post
    I dont want to pay for a single food stamp, or section 8 house, or welfare check, or bailout, or food drop to korea, or guns to arabs.... i dont want any of it. $1 is $1 too much.
    I hope you never need any of it.

    Seems mind of dick like to me..

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    The thing is, "conservatives" like you are in the small minority of Americans who don't want "nanny programs". No one who's smart would want to get rid of them, and no politician would ever even dream about committing political suicide. They'll just keep telling people like you that you're giving your hard earned paycheck to lazy people and you'll eat it right up because you don't know any better, nor do you want to

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    Quote Originally Posted by Elbow View Post
    I hope you never need any of it.

    Seems mind of dick like to me..
    That's the crazy thing. It tends to be the people who bitch about it the most that end up using it and abusing it the most

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    Quote Originally Posted by .blank cd View Post
    That's the crazy thing. It tends to be the people who bitch about it the most that end up using it and abusing it the most
    I dunno about all that.....

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    Quote Originally Posted by .blank cd View Post
    The thing is, "conservatives" like you are in the small minority of Americans who don't want "nanny programs". No one who's smart would want to get rid of them, and no politician would ever even dream about committing political suicide. They'll just keep telling people like you that you're giving your hard earned paycheck to lazy people and you'll eat it right up because you don't know any better, nor do you want to
    Quote Originally Posted by Sinfix_15 View Post
    I dont want to pay for a single food stamp, or section 8 house, or welfare check, or bailout, or food drop to korea, or guns to arabs.... i dont want any of it. $1 is $1 too much.
    Have to agree with Blank on this one - no politician is going to really attempt to get rid of the programs.

    Yes, we do need a food stamp program, and yes, we need government subsidised housing, and many other public assistance programs. Ideally though, these should be run at the local or state level though, not the federal level.
    The federal government should be a "safety net" for local or state-run public assistance programs. They shouldn't be the first stop. At the federal level, they have too many issues with fraud due to lack of oversight. If you brought that down to a local level, the people receiving the assistance should be more likely to work to get off it, and have access to direct help in doing so.

    The real issue is the fraud that is rampant in the system, not the program itself.
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  36. #36
    Slowest Car on IA David88vert's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by .blank cd View Post
    That's the crazy thing. It tends to be the people who bitch about it the most that end up using it and abusing it the most

    Well, we now know that you have never been in a welfare line. That's a good thing.
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    Senior Member | IA Veteran Elbow's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by David88vert View Post
    Have to agree with Blank on this one - no politician is going to really attempt to get rid of the programs.

    Yes, we do need a food stamp program, and yes, we need government subsidised housing, and many other public assistance programs. Ideally though, these should be run at the local or state level though, not the federal level.
    The federal government should be a "safety net" for local or state-run public assistance programs. They shouldn't be the first stop. At the federal level, they have too many issues with fraud due to lack of oversight. If you brought that down to a local level, the people receiving the assistance should be more likely to work to get off it, and have access to direct help in doing so.

    The real issue is the fraud that is rampant in the system, not the program itself.
    This.

  38. #38
    magical negro/photog .blank cd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by David88vert
    The real issue is the fraud that is rampant in the system, not the program itself.
    rampant?

    "The US Department of Labor reported that 1.9% total UI payments for 2001 was attributable to fraud or abuse within the UI program.[8]"

    "SNAP error rates declined by 57% since FY2000, from 8.91% in FY2000 to a record low of 3.80% in FY2011.[vi] The accuracy rate of 96.2% (FY2011) is an all-time program high and is considerably higher than other major benefit programs, for example Medicare fee-for-service (91.5%) or Medicare"

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    No work requirement for welfare
    99 weeks of UE insurance
    20%+ overpayments in EIC to poor families
    Foodstamps and EBT Cards being used for luxury items
    Free Cell phones

    The govt could def shrink the handouts, and force people on the bubble to work and get a job. Some people who actually need it, deserve help. But when you have parasites and leeches stealing the same money, it hurts those that are truly in need.

    this is the problem with most liberals like blank. He doesnt understand that we dont want the eradication of all social welfare programs, we want it more efficient and to be a last line of defense. Not a way of life
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    magical negro/photog .blank cd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vteckidd View Post
    20%+ overpayments in EIC to poor families
    Dont forget underpayments
    Foodstamps and EBT Cards being used for luxury items
    Probably also doesn't happen as much as you think...
    Free Cell phones
    Subsidized phone service has been going on since before you were born.

    The govt could def shrink the handouts, and force people on the bubble to work and get a job. Some people who actually need it, deserve help. But when you have parasites and leeches stealing the same money, it hurts those that are truly in need.
    How does it hurt people who are truly in need?

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